Tuesday, 29 October 2013

Quote for the day

“There are three classes of people: those who see, those who see when they are shown, those who do not see.” - Leonardo da Vinci

29-Oct-2013 CSE Trade Summary

Crossings - 29/10/2013 - Top 10 Contributors to Change ASPI

Following Stocks Reached New High / Low on 29/10/2013

The Graham Number

The Graham number or Benjamin Graham number is a figure used in securities investing that measures a stock's so-called fair value. Named after Benjamin Graham, the founder of value investing, the Graham Number can be calculated as follows:

Alternative calculation
Earnings per share is calculated by dividing net income by shares outstanding. Book value is another way of saying shareholders' equity. Therefore, book value per share is calculated by dividing equity by shares outstanding. Consequently, the formula for the Graham number can also be written as follows:

This is one of the ways to estimate the intrinsic value of business based on their book value and their earnings power.

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Graham value is applicable only to the companies that have positive earnings and positive tangible book value.

The final number is, theoretically, the maximum price that a defensive investor should pay for the given stock.Put another way, a stock priced below the Graham Number would be considered a good value, if it also meet a number of other criteria.

The complete Graham selection procedure is much more elaborate. No decision should be made based on this number alone.

When applying any of those valuation methods, you need to be aware of their limitations. Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.

2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.

3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.

Source: Edited articles from Wikipedia and http://www.forbes.com